The
BRICS Summit is underway in Brazil and is scheduled to conclude tomorrow, July
7. There are many themes on the minds of the political leaders in this group,
but one aspect that is certainly important for all is easing trade friction
within this group. For the long-term sustainability of BRICS, there must be a
stronger economic ambition that ties the grouping together beyond its political
and geopolitical alignments.
Across
all BRICS countries, researchers, policymakers, and businesspeople have been
attempting to adapt and address the restrictions caused by the U.S. Liberation
Day tariffs, and there remains profound uncertainty about the path ahead, as
the 90-day pause comes to an end this coming week.
However,
what the BRICS countries have not reflected on is also the prohibitive tariffs
they place against each other, which limit intra-BRICS trade.
The
blame, while correct, cannot be placed solely on the U.S. for its higher
tariffs; the BRICS countries should also consider taking a serious look inward
and assessing how they could deepen intra-trade and increase investments.
The
ideas of this path have long been documented in the business arm of this
grouping, the BRICS Business Council Forum’s various annual reports. Still, few
of these ideas have made their way into the political groupings' resolutions in
a manner that profoundly changes the economic engagement landscape amongst
these countries. The current environment necessitates such a strong approach.
Consider
the South African agricultural sector, which, due to the lack of a trade
agreement, faces higher tariffs in attractive BRICS member countries such as
China. To name a few, South African macadamias face a 12% import tariff in
China. The wine industry faces between 14%-20% in China, and many other
products. In addition to higher tariffs, exporters also face phytosanitary
barriers. I am singling out China here, but the same can be said about India,
another major agricultural importer within BRICS.
For
South Africa, agriculture is one of the key strategic industries for driving
economic growth and revitalising rural communities. Notably, the sector cannot
grow robustly without an expansion into new export markets. Already, the South
African agricultural industry exports roughly half of its produce in value
terms, amounting to approximately US$13.7 billion in 2024.
But the
BRICS countries account for a small share of these exports. Roughly two-thirds
of South Africa's agricultural exports go to the African continent and the EU.
While
China has signalled optimism and an intention to lower import tariffs for
various goods from Africa, there is no demonstrable evidence of the actual path
of implementing this, along with the timelines. Currently, it primarily serves
as a political statement.
The BRICS grouping should then build on these political statements, and
argue for a proper framework that technocrats and business can start refining,
which can be launched in the next Summit in India as the BRICS trade agreement, which would
encompass the agricultural sector, as this groping is a big market, accounting
for roughly half of global agricultural imports, but filled mainly by non-BRICS
members.
The
U.S. authorities' tough trade stance necessitates this approach to trade
policy, and for the BRICS countries to expand the avenues for trade for their
domestic businesses and alleviate the current friction within this group.
This
economic ambition of deepening trade is vital for the long-term sustainability
of BRICS.
-Wandile
Sihlobo is the Chief Economist of the Agricultural Business CHAMBER of
South Africa (Agbiz).
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